rachel green
May 28th, 2004, 07:16 AM
thanks to the amazing Britellectual!! :)
This week we saw seven strong debuts near the top of the Billboard 200 while “In the Zone” fell six places from #34 to #40. Its sales remained steady but the influx of strong debuts pushed it down in rankings.
Essentially, for the last few months, “In the Zone” has relied on the strength of its songs to sustain sales as Britney has done minimal promotion (a tour is not really a promotional vehicle since by definition the attendees are likely to be fans). It is a credit to the quality of the singles off of “In the Zone” that the album has stood up so well. Comparing “Britney” to “In the Zone”, we see the first single, IAS4U (highly underrated) being a better song than the first single than MATM but both “Toxic” and “Everytime” are head and shoulders above “Overprotected” and “Not a Girl”.
I know that some of her fans are complaining that Britney is not doing enough promo and want her on this talk show (Letterman) or doing that appearance (Today Show), etc. but I think reducing stress in her life right now is the correct decision. She should be able to focus on the tour without to many other distractions. Luckily the quality of the songs available from “in the Zone” is enough to sustain sales if not to break records.
An aside on one of my pet peeves. Avril is constantly being praised (and boasting of that praise in interviews) for not dressing provocatively thus being a good role model for girls compared to that “tramp” Britney. Yet, in many of these same interviews Avril boasts about getting into bar fights and beating up other girls. It strikes me that advocating violence is providing girls with a much worse role model then dressing sexy.
But I guess to many people violence is good while sex is bad.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2003 - 2004 - “In The Zone” - Britney Spears
Chart Track:
Week 1 (11.26.03) - #1 609,364
Week 2 (12.03.03) - #3 251k
Week 3 (12.10.03) - #7 150k
Week 4 (12.17.03) - #10 158k
Week 5 (12.24.03) - #13 205k
Week 6 (12.31.03) - #10 205k
The exact Soundscan sales figues for 2003 (up to Dec. 28th) is 1,580,000 units.
Week 7 (01.07.04) - #14 72k
Week 8 (01.14.04) - #16 47k
Week 9 (01.21.04) - #11 52k
Week 10 (01.28.04) - #10 61k
Week 11 (02.04.04) - #6 63k
Week 12 (02.11.04) - #12 65k
Week 13 (02.18.04) - #21 75k
Week 14 (02.25.04) - #13 60k
Week 15 (03.03.04) - #14 53k
Week 16 (03.10.03) - #15 52k (51,750)
Week 17 (03.17.03) - #14 48k
Week 18 (03.24.03) - #16 48k
Week 19 (03.31.03) - #24 43k
Week 20 (04.07.04) - #25 41k
Week 21 (04.14.04) - #23 52k
Week 22 (04.21.04) - #27 30k
Week 23 (04.28.04) - #33 29k
Week 24 (05.05.04) - #33 28k estimate
Week 25 (05.12.04) - #39 29k
Week 26 (05.19.04) - #34 27k
Week 27 (05.26.04) - #40 26k The exact SoundScan sales total at this point is 2,578,859
Total Weeks on the Market - 27
Total Weeks on the Chart - 27
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 2,579,000
Global sales Estimate: 5,725,000 million
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2001 - 2002 -
2003 - "Britney" -Britney Spears:
Chart Track -
#1 - #2 - #3 - #6 - #4 - #3 - #4 - #12 - #14 - #20 - #21 - #22
#25 - #17 - #14 - #9 - #25 - #26 - #28 - #34 - #29 - #41 - #50
#49 - #59 - #68 - #81 - #79 - #82 - #72 - #85 - #98 - #94 - #104
#98 - #99 - #101 - #78 - #79 - #81 - #91 - #100 - #115 - #111 - #121
#132 - #162 - #168 - #179 - #183 - #186 - #188 - #196 - off - off
#186 - #157 - #153 - #161 - #180 - off - ...
The exact SoundScan total for 2001-2002 for “Britney” is
4.05 million!
The exact SoundScan total as of the April 10, 2004 chart is 4,245,824
Total Weeks on the Market - 105
Total Weeks on the Chart - 58 total weeks
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 4,263,000 units (est.) + 588k from the BMG Music Club = 4.853 million
Global Sales Estimate: 10+ million
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2000 - 2001 - 2002 - 2003 - 2004 - OIDIA - Britney Spears
Chart Track -
1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 7, 6, 12, 12, 12, 12, 11, 14, 13, 19, 15, 8, 5, 5, 8, 21, 23, 25, 26, 37, 37, 42, 45, 58, 68, 67, 77, 87, 80, 84, 70, 95, 103, 102, 113, 117, 130, 114, 124, 127, 138, 140, 127, 121, 124, 128, 134, 150, 156, 159, 172, 140, 166, 169, 184, 170, 191, 185, 186, 164, 162, 178, 170, 170, 159, 155, 167
Total Weeks on the Market - TBD
Total Weeks on the Chart - 84
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 9.1 + million SoundScan + 1.21 million from the BMG Music Club + Other non-SoundScan sales = 10.31+ million
Global Sales Estimate - 19+ million
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 1999 - 2000 - 2001 - 2002 - 2003 - 2004 - BOMT - Britney Spears
Chart Track -
1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5, 4, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 3, 5, 5, 6, 6, 3, 3, 4, 4, 6, 7, 6, 4, 4, 4, 7, 5, 3, 5, 6, 6, 6, 8, 10, 7, 7, 5, 5, 5, 7, 7, 8, 6, 3, 4, 3, 6, 16, 13, 13, 13, 17, 15, 17, 20, 17, 26, 29, 30, 36, 44, 45, 40, 32, 55, 61, 52, 53, 64, 64, 54, 64, 66, 68, 66, 73, 62, 57, 60, 64, 88, 75, 77, 81, 93, 102, 118, 144, 148, 138, 149, 140, 121, 112, 98, 85, 87, 88, 98, 143
Total Weeks on the Market - 258
Total Weeks on the Chart - 104
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: SoundScan 10,477,892 + 1.6 million from the BMG Music Club + Other non-SoundScan Sales = 12,077,892+
Global Sales Estimate - 23+ million
***************************
Canadian Album Chart Track for “In the Zone:
#2 - #4 - #11 - #14 - #13 - #9 - #7 - #13 - #10 - #8 - #7 - #10 - #16 - #12 - #13 - #13 - #13 - #16 - #23 - #26 - #22 - #21 - #19 - #23 - #31 - #25 - #38
*************************
“In the Zone” DVD/Video Chart Track
#1 - #2 - #3 - #8 - #9 - #7 - TBD
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BILLBOARD 200 Album Sales Chart
Usher domination continues with an eighth non-consecutive week at #1 with sales of 214k following only a very minor 6% sales deacrease.
Method Man debuts strongly at #2 with 164k in sales but this was a lot less then the 411k he got with the debut of his last release.
New Found Glory looks like they have established themselves a fanbase with a #3 debut and sales of 147k.
Gretchen Wilson falls 39% (a good hold) after her debut to land at #4 with 139k in sales.
Alanis, who is a lot mellower, seems to have been hurt by her new found maturity only able to debut at #5 with 115k. I guess maturity does not sell as well as angry young women angst. Maybe Alanis needs to take a page out of Avril’s book and eat lots of carbs the next time she records an album.
Eminem’s D12 falls to #6 while Hoobastanks rides The Reason to #7.
8Ball & MJG fall to #8 with 65k in sales on a drop of 46% while NOW 15 holds at #9.
From the name I assumed that Montgomery Gentry was a solo act but it turns out they are a duo and they debut at #10 with 58k.
Next week will see Usher displaced by Avril at #1 with HITS estimating 350k to 400k in the first week. I have established an Oops Formula to determine if this is a above or below expectations.
1.3 million/2 x 0.80 = 520k
If it debuts above 520k then it will have done as well, relative to her first album as OIDIA did relative to BOMT.
Notes: “Let’s Go” sold about half of BOMT so to be equivalent to OIDIA we should see Avril’s sophmore set sell 650k but since the the music market has shrunk about 20% since 2000 we reduce that total by 20%.
---------------------
Billboard Hot 100
Me Against The Music
Hot 100: #50 - #43 - #38 - #38 - #44 - #35 - #40 - #51 - #78 - #81 - #83 - #91 - #95 - off...
Hot 100 Airplay: #49 - #44 - #41 - #44 - #48 - #47 - #50 - #55 - off - off - off - off - off...
Top 40: #20 - #15 - #16 - #17 - #19 - #17 - #23 - #28 - off - off - off - off - off...
Hot 100 Single Sales: #63 - off - off - #4 - #4 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #4 - #4 - #6 - #8 - #10 - #10 - #11 - #11 - #15 - #22 - #25 - #32 - #37 - #41 - #47 - #49 - #57
Dance Club Play: #42 - #26 - #16 - #9 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #5 - #9 - #13 - #25 - #34 - #47 - off...
Dance Radio Airplay: #21 - #13 - #13 - #11 - #10 - #10 - #13 - #18 - #16 - #16 - #9 - #13 - off - off...
Dance Single Sales: #23 - #12 - #8 - #17 - #13 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #2 - #2 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #4 - #4 - #5 - #6 - #8
Toxic
Hot 100: #53 - #36 - #29 - #22 - #18 - #14 - #11 - #10 - #9 - #11 - #11 - #10 - #14 - #17 - #19 - #19 - #37 - #41 - #51
Hot 100 Airplay: #53 - #38 - #29 - #22 - #17 - #15 - #12 - #11 - #10 - #10 - #11 - #10 - #15 - #17 - #19 - #19 - #37 - #41 - #51
Mainstream Top 40: #21 - #14 - #9 - #5 - #4 - #3 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #5 - #9 - #12 - #13 - #17
Rhythmic Top 40: #32 - #32 - #26 - #21- #19 - #18 - #16 - #17 - #20 - #21 - #22 - #32 - #33 - #39 - off...
Adult Top 40: #37 - #37 - #39 - #40 - off - #40 - off
Top 40 Tracks: #27 - #15 - #10 - #8 - #5 - #3 - #2 - #3 - #2 - #4 - #4 - #3 - #4 - #8 - #10 - #10 - #14 - #19 - #24
Hot 100 Single Sales: #52 - off - off - off...
Hot Digital Tracks: #5 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #3 - #4 - #5 - #4 - #7 - #10 - #12 - #13 - #15 - #18
Dance Radio Airplay: #25 - #8 - #1 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #3 - #2 - #4 - #4 - #2 - #11 - #13
Dance Club Play: #34 - #18 - #9 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #8 - #9 - #16 - #28 - #37 - #43 - #50 - off
Dance Single Sales: #3 - #12 - #13 - #14 - #12 - #14 - #12 - #17 - #18 - #18 - #24 - #17 - #22 - #22 - off
Everytime
Hot 100: #61 - #51 - #26
Hot 100 Airplay: #59 - #53 - #28
Mainstream Top 40: #27 - #19 - #14
Top 40 Tracks: TBD - #23 - #13
Hot Digital Tracks: #21 - #13 - #9 - #8
“Everytime” has already exceeded my expectations dramatically. I thought, given the poor reception Britney’s ballads had previously garnered that a peak of #18 on CHR/Pop airplay and #36 on the Hot 100 would be great. But #26 in its third week - WOW WOW WOWEE WOW.
It will fight to make it into the top 20 but for any pop ballad to crack the top 20 of the Hot 100 is incredible given 85% of the top 20 is R&B/HipHop.
Usher contines to amaze with a burning #1 and two other songs in the top 10. They are good songs but come on radio programers. Give some others a chance at spins.
:D :sunny: :love: :cool:
This week we saw seven strong debuts near the top of the Billboard 200 while “In the Zone” fell six places from #34 to #40. Its sales remained steady but the influx of strong debuts pushed it down in rankings.
Essentially, for the last few months, “In the Zone” has relied on the strength of its songs to sustain sales as Britney has done minimal promotion (a tour is not really a promotional vehicle since by definition the attendees are likely to be fans). It is a credit to the quality of the singles off of “In the Zone” that the album has stood up so well. Comparing “Britney” to “In the Zone”, we see the first single, IAS4U (highly underrated) being a better song than the first single than MATM but both “Toxic” and “Everytime” are head and shoulders above “Overprotected” and “Not a Girl”.
I know that some of her fans are complaining that Britney is not doing enough promo and want her on this talk show (Letterman) or doing that appearance (Today Show), etc. but I think reducing stress in her life right now is the correct decision. She should be able to focus on the tour without to many other distractions. Luckily the quality of the songs available from “in the Zone” is enough to sustain sales if not to break records.
An aside on one of my pet peeves. Avril is constantly being praised (and boasting of that praise in interviews) for not dressing provocatively thus being a good role model for girls compared to that “tramp” Britney. Yet, in many of these same interviews Avril boasts about getting into bar fights and beating up other girls. It strikes me that advocating violence is providing girls with a much worse role model then dressing sexy.
But I guess to many people violence is good while sex is bad.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2003 - 2004 - “In The Zone” - Britney Spears
Chart Track:
Week 1 (11.26.03) - #1 609,364
Week 2 (12.03.03) - #3 251k
Week 3 (12.10.03) - #7 150k
Week 4 (12.17.03) - #10 158k
Week 5 (12.24.03) - #13 205k
Week 6 (12.31.03) - #10 205k
The exact Soundscan sales figues for 2003 (up to Dec. 28th) is 1,580,000 units.
Week 7 (01.07.04) - #14 72k
Week 8 (01.14.04) - #16 47k
Week 9 (01.21.04) - #11 52k
Week 10 (01.28.04) - #10 61k
Week 11 (02.04.04) - #6 63k
Week 12 (02.11.04) - #12 65k
Week 13 (02.18.04) - #21 75k
Week 14 (02.25.04) - #13 60k
Week 15 (03.03.04) - #14 53k
Week 16 (03.10.03) - #15 52k (51,750)
Week 17 (03.17.03) - #14 48k
Week 18 (03.24.03) - #16 48k
Week 19 (03.31.03) - #24 43k
Week 20 (04.07.04) - #25 41k
Week 21 (04.14.04) - #23 52k
Week 22 (04.21.04) - #27 30k
Week 23 (04.28.04) - #33 29k
Week 24 (05.05.04) - #33 28k estimate
Week 25 (05.12.04) - #39 29k
Week 26 (05.19.04) - #34 27k
Week 27 (05.26.04) - #40 26k The exact SoundScan sales total at this point is 2,578,859
Total Weeks on the Market - 27
Total Weeks on the Chart - 27
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 2,579,000
Global sales Estimate: 5,725,000 million
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2001 - 2002 -
2003 - "Britney" -Britney Spears:
Chart Track -
#1 - #2 - #3 - #6 - #4 - #3 - #4 - #12 - #14 - #20 - #21 - #22
#25 - #17 - #14 - #9 - #25 - #26 - #28 - #34 - #29 - #41 - #50
#49 - #59 - #68 - #81 - #79 - #82 - #72 - #85 - #98 - #94 - #104
#98 - #99 - #101 - #78 - #79 - #81 - #91 - #100 - #115 - #111 - #121
#132 - #162 - #168 - #179 - #183 - #186 - #188 - #196 - off - off
#186 - #157 - #153 - #161 - #180 - off - ...
The exact SoundScan total for 2001-2002 for “Britney” is
4.05 million!
The exact SoundScan total as of the April 10, 2004 chart is 4,245,824
Total Weeks on the Market - 105
Total Weeks on the Chart - 58 total weeks
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 4,263,000 units (est.) + 588k from the BMG Music Club = 4.853 million
Global Sales Estimate: 10+ million
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 2000 - 2001 - 2002 - 2003 - 2004 - OIDIA - Britney Spears
Chart Track -
1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 7, 6, 12, 12, 12, 12, 11, 14, 13, 19, 15, 8, 5, 5, 8, 21, 23, 25, 26, 37, 37, 42, 45, 58, 68, 67, 77, 87, 80, 84, 70, 95, 103, 102, 113, 117, 130, 114, 124, 127, 138, 140, 127, 121, 124, 128, 134, 150, 156, 159, 172, 140, 166, 169, 184, 170, 191, 185, 186, 164, 162, 178, 170, 170, 159, 155, 167
Total Weeks on the Market - TBD
Total Weeks on the Chart - 84
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: 9.1 + million SoundScan + 1.21 million from the BMG Music Club + Other non-SoundScan sales = 10.31+ million
Global Sales Estimate - 19+ million
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the totals for 1999 - 2000 - 2001 - 2002 - 2003 - 2004 - BOMT - Britney Spears
Chart Track -
1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5, 4, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 3, 5, 5, 6, 6, 3, 3, 4, 4, 6, 7, 6, 4, 4, 4, 7, 5, 3, 5, 6, 6, 6, 8, 10, 7, 7, 5, 5, 5, 7, 7, 8, 6, 3, 4, 3, 6, 16, 13, 13, 13, 17, 15, 17, 20, 17, 26, 29, 30, 36, 44, 45, 40, 32, 55, 61, 52, 53, 64, 64, 54, 64, 66, 68, 66, 73, 62, 57, 60, 64, 88, 75, 77, 81, 93, 102, 118, 144, 148, 138, 149, 140, 121, 112, 98, 85, 87, 88, 98, 143
Total Weeks on the Market - 258
Total Weeks on the Chart - 104
Total Sales in the U.S.A.: SoundScan 10,477,892 + 1.6 million from the BMG Music Club + Other non-SoundScan Sales = 12,077,892+
Global Sales Estimate - 23+ million
***************************
Canadian Album Chart Track for “In the Zone:
#2 - #4 - #11 - #14 - #13 - #9 - #7 - #13 - #10 - #8 - #7 - #10 - #16 - #12 - #13 - #13 - #13 - #16 - #23 - #26 - #22 - #21 - #19 - #23 - #31 - #25 - #38
*************************
“In the Zone” DVD/Video Chart Track
#1 - #2 - #3 - #8 - #9 - #7 - TBD
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BILLBOARD 200 Album Sales Chart
Usher domination continues with an eighth non-consecutive week at #1 with sales of 214k following only a very minor 6% sales deacrease.
Method Man debuts strongly at #2 with 164k in sales but this was a lot less then the 411k he got with the debut of his last release.
New Found Glory looks like they have established themselves a fanbase with a #3 debut and sales of 147k.
Gretchen Wilson falls 39% (a good hold) after her debut to land at #4 with 139k in sales.
Alanis, who is a lot mellower, seems to have been hurt by her new found maturity only able to debut at #5 with 115k. I guess maturity does not sell as well as angry young women angst. Maybe Alanis needs to take a page out of Avril’s book and eat lots of carbs the next time she records an album.
Eminem’s D12 falls to #6 while Hoobastanks rides The Reason to #7.
8Ball & MJG fall to #8 with 65k in sales on a drop of 46% while NOW 15 holds at #9.
From the name I assumed that Montgomery Gentry was a solo act but it turns out they are a duo and they debut at #10 with 58k.
Next week will see Usher displaced by Avril at #1 with HITS estimating 350k to 400k in the first week. I have established an Oops Formula to determine if this is a above or below expectations.
1.3 million/2 x 0.80 = 520k
If it debuts above 520k then it will have done as well, relative to her first album as OIDIA did relative to BOMT.
Notes: “Let’s Go” sold about half of BOMT so to be equivalent to OIDIA we should see Avril’s sophmore set sell 650k but since the the music market has shrunk about 20% since 2000 we reduce that total by 20%.
---------------------
Billboard Hot 100
Me Against The Music
Hot 100: #50 - #43 - #38 - #38 - #44 - #35 - #40 - #51 - #78 - #81 - #83 - #91 - #95 - off...
Hot 100 Airplay: #49 - #44 - #41 - #44 - #48 - #47 - #50 - #55 - off - off - off - off - off...
Top 40: #20 - #15 - #16 - #17 - #19 - #17 - #23 - #28 - off - off - off - off - off...
Hot 100 Single Sales: #63 - off - off - #4 - #4 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #4 - #4 - #6 - #8 - #10 - #10 - #11 - #11 - #15 - #22 - #25 - #32 - #37 - #41 - #47 - #49 - #57
Dance Club Play: #42 - #26 - #16 - #9 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #5 - #9 - #13 - #25 - #34 - #47 - off...
Dance Radio Airplay: #21 - #13 - #13 - #11 - #10 - #10 - #13 - #18 - #16 - #16 - #9 - #13 - off - off...
Dance Single Sales: #23 - #12 - #8 - #17 - #13 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #2 - #2 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #4 - #4 - #5 - #6 - #8
Toxic
Hot 100: #53 - #36 - #29 - #22 - #18 - #14 - #11 - #10 - #9 - #11 - #11 - #10 - #14 - #17 - #19 - #19 - #37 - #41 - #51
Hot 100 Airplay: #53 - #38 - #29 - #22 - #17 - #15 - #12 - #11 - #10 - #10 - #11 - #10 - #15 - #17 - #19 - #19 - #37 - #41 - #51
Mainstream Top 40: #21 - #14 - #9 - #5 - #4 - #3 - #2 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #1 - #3 - #3 - #3 - #5 - #9 - #12 - #13 - #17
Rhythmic Top 40: #32 - #32 - #26 - #21- #19 - #18 - #16 - #17 - #20 - #21 - #22 - #32 - #33 - #39 - off...
Adult Top 40: #37 - #37 - #39 - #40 - off - #40 - off
Top 40 Tracks: #27 - #15 - #10 - #8 - #5 - #3 - #2 - #3 - #2 - #4 - #4 - #3 - #4 - #8 - #10 - #10 - #14 - #19 - #24
Hot 100 Single Sales: #52 - off - off - off...
Hot Digital Tracks: #5 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #2 - #3 - #4 - #5 - #4 - #7 - #10 - #12 - #13 - #15 - #18
Dance Radio Airplay: #25 - #8 - #1 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #2 - #3 - #2 - #4 - #4 - #2 - #11 - #13
Dance Club Play: #34 - #18 - #9 - #2 - #1 - #3 - #8 - #9 - #16 - #28 - #37 - #43 - #50 - off
Dance Single Sales: #3 - #12 - #13 - #14 - #12 - #14 - #12 - #17 - #18 - #18 - #24 - #17 - #22 - #22 - off
Everytime
Hot 100: #61 - #51 - #26
Hot 100 Airplay: #59 - #53 - #28
Mainstream Top 40: #27 - #19 - #14
Top 40 Tracks: TBD - #23 - #13
Hot Digital Tracks: #21 - #13 - #9 - #8
“Everytime” has already exceeded my expectations dramatically. I thought, given the poor reception Britney’s ballads had previously garnered that a peak of #18 on CHR/Pop airplay and #36 on the Hot 100 would be great. But #26 in its third week - WOW WOW WOWEE WOW.
It will fight to make it into the top 20 but for any pop ballad to crack the top 20 of the Hot 100 is incredible given 85% of the top 20 is R&B/HipHop.
Usher contines to amaze with a burning #1 and two other songs in the top 10. They are good songs but come on radio programers. Give some others a chance at spins.
:D :sunny: :love: :cool: