SurveyUSA: Hillary And Obama Win Electoral College In Distinct Ways

[Richard Tafoya]

TPM Election Central:
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/surveyusa_hillary_and_obama_wi.php

SurveyUSA has a new set of polls (http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/03/06/new-electoral-maps-to-be-released-today-based-on-30000-just-completed-interviews/) out, testing Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in all 50 states. The bottom line: Both candidates would narrowly win the Electoral College, but in very different ways.

Obama vs. McCain:
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/images/2008-03-06_mccain_obama.gif
Hillary vs. McCain:
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/images/2008-03-06_mccain_clinton.gif

So which Democrat is the more electable option?
After crunching the numbers from these quite dissimilar maps, one finds that Obama would beat McCain 278-260, while Hillary would win by a nearly identical 276-262.

Think about that.

Late Update: The final revisions (http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/03/06/electoral-math-as-of-030608-obama-280-mccain-258/) have Obama winning two of Nebraska's three House districts, but still losing statewide. With Nebraska's electoral system splitting the electoral votes by district, this changes the tally to 280 votes for Obama, to 258 for McCain.

[DoubleEdgeSword]

I wonder, has there ever been a race this close between two candidates before the conventions? And if so, what happened?

True, we still have a long way to go until the summer, and to November and, anything can happen, but this is really interesting.

[tiger_rascal]

This election has me excited. Change is on the way, no matter if its from Clinton or Obama. And I think both will bring good change.

Hopefully things start looking up in about 2 or 3 years.