View Full Version : Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%
Richard Tafoya
Sep 7th, 2008, 03:04 PM
Gallup:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110050/Gallup-Daily-McCain-Moves-Ahead-48-45.aspx
The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking (http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx) update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.
These results are based on Sept. 4-6 interviewing, and include two full days of polling after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention last Thursday night. McCain has outpolled Obama on both Friday and Saturday, and is receiving a convention bounce just as Obama did last week (http://www.gallup.com/poll/109954/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Maintains-6Point-Lead-49-43.aspx).
Tomorrow's report will be the first in which all interviews were conducted after the conclusion of the convention. Gallup measures convention bounces by comparing candidate support in the last poll done entirely before a party's presidential nominating convention begins with the first polling conducted entirely after its conclusion.
McCain's 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCain's largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama has led McCain for most of the campaign, and for nearly all of the time since clinching the Democratic nomination in early June. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here (http://www.gallup.com/poll/107674/Interactive-Graph-Follow-General-Election.aspx).)
Whoda Thunk?
Sep 7th, 2008, 11:40 PM
I feel sick.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 06:00 AM
I feel sick.
Same. Obama outlined his plans, McCain just glossed over them, giving his personal background and his support of his VP choice (who also did little to discuss the future). That people in this country don't even care about having plans, or making good choices based on the ability to do one of the more important jobs in this country, is pathetic.
DoubleEdgeSword
Sep 8th, 2008, 06:33 AM
I heard an interview with a Republican voter the other day who said (paraphrasing) I'll vote for somebody who is against abortion even if it means losing my job.
That pretty much says it all.
Annoyedlistner
Sep 8th, 2008, 07:03 AM
Same. Obama outlined his plans, McCain just glossed over them, giving his personal background and his support of his VP choice (who also did little to discuss the future). That people in this country don't even care about having plans, or making good choices based on the ability to do one of the more important jobs in this country, is pathetic.
Obama said all the right things and explained what he's going to do in office...All the republicans did was attack attack attack.
I hate to say this, because i hate smear campaigns, but the only way the democrats are going to win the white house is to stoop to the republicans level and run a Rove Campaign.
The Republicans are skimming right over the issues and simply attacking the democratic campaign...its working...and its sick people are that stupid.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 08:08 AM
Does anyone think the VMAs are going to hurt the democrats in upcoming polls?
I mean, that host was just crazy. I thought he was funny, but when he got all political telling Americans they better vote for Obama and blah, blah, blah, that just turns people off.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 08:49 AM
I thought he was a pain. I don't know if it will hurt anything other than his chances of doing anything big ever again on American TV.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 08:59 AM
Obama said all the right things and explained what he's going to do in office...All the republicans did was attack attack attack.
I hate to say this, because i hate smear campaigns, but the only way the democrats are going to win the white house is to stoop to the republicans level and run a Rove Campaign.
The Republicans are skimming right over the issues and simply attacking the democratic campaign...its working...and its sick people are that stupid.
I've been saying that, about Rove and swiftboating for a while. It's a sick catch 22: Part of what makes the Democrats who they is the way they handle themselves and a level of decency. Where do they cross the line? Palin is going to be trouble in the aspect that she should be toast, but it will all be smear: Democrats are sexist attacking her. Even though there is PLENTY to assail her with.
I can't speak for anyone else here, but some of the things that came to mind about the GOP Convention I didn't say to anyone but my best friends. Why? I do believe in that decency.
That's part of why Bill won and Hillary may have been a better choice to run: The Clintons aren't afraid to get a little dirty.
The Left needs their own Rush, kind of like Franken, but even more extreme.
Or, they need a Democratic version of Corsi: Someone with money, willing to write fiction as fact, and who can swift boat the Right. And someone they can disassociate with while he does the dirty work.
SparkleHugs
Sep 8th, 2008, 10:16 AM
This scares me. They didn't say anything of any relevance in their convention AT ALL.
over the weekend i was at my parents house looking through the cable channels, there was like 4 programs on about 911 throughout the course of the day. and then there was a "support our troops" special on tv last night too. I feel like the fear mongering that worked so well in 2004 has begun again.
It really disappoints me that the American people are so impressionable and naiive. they dont know when they are being manipulated when its completely obvious.
:rolleyes:
I really think if McCain is elected i will cry. The mere idea is terrifying to me. I am waiting for the "october suprise".
Whoda Thunk?
Sep 8th, 2008, 10:36 AM
I heard an interview with a Republican voter the other day who said (paraphrasing) I'll vote for somebody who is against abortion even if it means losing my job.
That pretty much says it all.
:susp2: People like that scare me. Keeping some woman you don't know from having an abortion is more important than a roof over your head and food on the table. :manson:
Richard Tafoya
Sep 8th, 2008, 10:42 AM
After-convention pops are predictable. What's not predictable is what happens a week later and beyond. Obama's biggest job right now is energizing his base and getting out the vote.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 11:38 AM
:susp2: People like that scare me. Keeping some woman you don't know from having an abortion is more important than a roof over your head and food on the table. :manson:
Well, you have to look at it from their perspective. Without life there is no mouth to feed, no body to need shelter.
Some people will vote based on values alone.
Richard Tafoya
Sep 8th, 2008, 11:43 AM
And a majority of people in the U.S. support a woman's right to choose. On that particular issue, it's a matter of getting those people informed about McCain's hope to overturn Roe v Wade and getting them to the polls.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 12:00 PM
They are the minority, but the same people say they are the majority when it comes to gay marriage, and therefore they should have their say.
One or the other guys.
I know a post-convention bump is expected, but it's still painful to think they can say nothing of import, yet be running neck-and-neck.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 12:11 PM
I think McCain has a chance and its scary.
My boss seems to think American voter are not yet ready for an African-American president. Therefore, McCain will win by default and we are all screwed.
Had Obama picked Hillary as his vp, I dont think there would be an election, their lead would be so great that McCain would be forced to end his campaign.
SparkleHugs
Sep 8th, 2008, 12:34 PM
I think McCain has a chance and its scary.
My boss seems to think American voter are not yet ready for an African-American president. Therefore, McCain will win by default and we are all screwed.
Had Obama picked Hillary as his vp, I dont think there would be an election, their lead would be so great that McCain would be forced to end his campaign.
I love Hilary and voted for her, but I disagree completely. Clinton and Obama are too similar to make a good enough ticket. they ahve the same strengths and weaknesses.
I think the people who say that the American vote isn't ready for an African American president are the ones who arent ready. not the rest of the country. If we werent ready as a nation, then we wouldn't have elected him in the primary. He won that, fair and square. If people werent ready for a black president, they wouldn't have voted for him in the primary.
If the Supreme Court butts their noses in where it doesnt belong again, I'm gonna throw a hissy fit.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 01:51 PM
But with Hillary, Obama would have had his supporters plus all the Clinton supporters.
Now we have some disgruntled Hillary supporters leaning towards McCain.
And Obama may have won the primary, but that does not mean he can gather enough Hillary supporters, plus leaning republicans to vote him into office.
Instead, we just may have Hillary supporters vote for McCain plus have all the republicans voting McCain, which would leave the race extremely tight and Obama has a good chance of losing.
This sucks really bad. Its scary.
Whoda Thunk?
Sep 8th, 2008, 02:26 PM
Well, you have to look at it from their perspective. Without life there is no mouth to feed, no body to need shelter.
Some people will vote based on values alone.
They have their OWN mouths to feed and need shelter. Anyone that would vote for someone to stop some UNKNOWN WOMAN from having an abortion at the risk of losing their livelyhood is scary to me.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 02:49 PM
I look at it as life. At least after the first 3 months.
I know that doesnt mean anything to some people, but it does mean a lot to some voters.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 02:58 PM
...But how many people saying they'd give up their jobs to ban abortion are also supporting the action in Iraq. It's okay to kill non-American people, but an unborn child (even in those first three months) must be protected?
Or how many of them are a-okay with capital punishment?
No, if you support life, you support life. Again, can't have it both ways.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 03:00 PM
I agree with you Dave, but that wont stop them from voting for McCain.
db44
Sep 8th, 2008, 03:15 PM
I know. And that's sad to me, because MCain hasn't given a single idea that he has a clue to having any legitamite plans for his time in office, if he were to win.
SparkleHugs
Sep 8th, 2008, 03:20 PM
But with Hillary, Obama would have had his supporters plus all the Clinton supporters.
Now we have some disgruntled Hillary supporters leaning towards McCain.
And Obama may have won the primary, but that does not mean he can gather enough Hillary supporters, plus leaning republicans to vote him into office.
Instead, we just may have Hillary supporters vote for McCain plus have all the republicans voting McCain, which would leave the race extremely tight and Obama has a good chance of losing.
This sucks really bad. Its scary.
you forget about all the people that said they wouldnt vote for him if she was the VP, no matter what happened a large group of people were going to be turned off. But people should really listen to what Clinton said in her speech, are you voting for her? or for what she stands for. If people look at the issues and what they believe and what the candidates are going to do for the country, I think there wouldnt be a debate. Frankly if the disgrunted hilary voters refuse to vote for Obama, then they have got to be the most stupid human beings on the freaking planet. A person should vote for something other than a vagina, and that would be ALL that they were doing. They are disgraceful. They just should abdicate from voting at all if thats how they feel about it.
I am really tired of there being such a weight on the abortion thing. It's important, I definately look at a persons position on it before casting my vote. but a law is currently in place and it will take a lot of work by a lot of people to get it to a place where Roe v. Wade could even be considered to be overturned. It isnt like the president could just be elected into office and change everything. I understand that s/he has the authority to appoint Justices that could help overturn that (or not overturn it) but I think there are FAR more pertinant issues to be on the table at this point besides the off chance that one of the Justices dies/retires and a case comes up where the Supreme Court is willing to look over a specific type of case a second time.
edit:i think that i should make clear that my rant above is about both positions on abortion, and not just one side of it. us pro-choice people can be just as unrelenting as anyone else.
pinky
Sep 8th, 2008, 03:22 PM
:susp2: People like that scare me. Keeping some woman you don't know from having an abortion is more important than a roof over your head and food on the table. :manson:
Which is why, even though I'm pro-life, I usually support pro-choice candidates, because their views are more in line with mine on a range of other issues that I see as being part of a true "pro-life" orientation: health care, education, housing, gun control, opposition to the death penalty, gay rights, etc.
I think abortion is horrific and wrong under almost all circumstances. But it seems stupid to vote according to that one litmus test, and then ignore everything else about making people's lives livable.
SparkleHugs
Sep 8th, 2008, 04:27 PM
Pinky, I wish the rest of America was as intelligent as you are. :noway:
pinky
Sep 8th, 2008, 04:30 PM
*blushes*
Whoda Thunk?
Sep 8th, 2008, 04:54 PM
Which is why, even though I'm pro-life, I usually support pro-choice candidates, because their views are more in line with mine on a range of other issues that I see as being part of a true "pro-life" orientation: health care, education, housing, gun control, opposition to the death penalty, gay rights, etc.
I think abortion is horrific and wrong under almost all circumstances. But it seems stupid to vote according to that one litmus test, and then ignore everything else about making people's lives livable.
Very well put!
Although I'm pro-choice, I can't imagine that I would ever have an abortion myself. I love kids too much. I just don't feel it's my place to tell another woman that she isn't "allowed" to have one.
I just can't imagine that someone would vote for someone even if it meant the loss of their job to keep someone else from having an abortion. That just screams nutcase/radical among other things to me.
DoubleEdgeSword
Sep 8th, 2008, 05:00 PM
Pinky, I wish the rest of America was as intelligent as you are. :noway:
Amen.
tiger_rascal
Sep 8th, 2008, 05:06 PM
This is going to be an interesting election. A real nail biter!
pinky
Sep 8th, 2008, 05:55 PM
Apparently, people should just do what I tell them to do. :o
SparkleHugs
Sep 8th, 2008, 06:20 PM
Pinks, I'd agree completely. We agree on alot of things and i trust that, we disagree on alot of things too. but in this election we're on the same side. so sure! Everyone in America should do what Pinky says! ;)
FOJ
Sep 9th, 2008, 04:03 AM
Obama said all the right things and explained what he's going to do in office...All the republicans did was attack attack attack.
I hate to say this, because i hate smear campaigns, but the only way the democrats are going to win the white house is to stoop to the republicans level and run a Rove Campaign.
The Republicans are skimming right over the issues and simply attacking the democratic campaign...its working...and its sick people are that stupid.
You have got to be kidding me. All Obama did in his speech was attack attack attack; while McCain was gracious to Obama in return.
tiger_rascal
Sep 9th, 2008, 06:21 AM
I think both sides use attack tactics, but its a little different. All one side sees is the republicans attacking, and the other side only sees the democrats attacking.
Politics suck.
DoubleEdgeSword
Sep 9th, 2008, 07:02 AM
And last month, she was Sarah who? The cult of personality has set up shop in American politics like no time ever in its history. What has happened to the market place of ideas? Real discourse has been replaced by the 15-second campaign ad, the soundbite and bumper sticker sloganeering. Debates are based on scripted talking points and voters read political "news" in lines at the grocery store. Sad state of affairs.
Annoyedlistner
Sep 9th, 2008, 07:12 AM
You have got to be kidding me. All Obama did in his speech was attack attack attack; while McCain was gracious to Obama in return.
Apparently you didnt watch Obama's speech, because he did praise McCain.
Before making a comment as such, please make sure you know what your talking about.
Go back and watch Obama's speech.
FOJ
Sep 9th, 2008, 10:43 AM
Apparently you didnt watch Obama's speech, because he did praise McCain.
Before making a comment as such, please make sure you know what your talking about.
Go back and watch Obama's speech.I might tell others here to do the same with McCain's speech.
Annoyedlistner
Sep 9th, 2008, 11:01 AM
I might tell others here to do the same with McCain's speech.
I watched his..he did praise Obama your right, but he did attack Obama as well.
Did you watch Obama's speech?
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