Richard Tafoya
Oct 26th, 2008, 03:40 PM
TPM:
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_election_central_obama_sta.php
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. Barack Obama is still way ahead nationally, with his overall lead dipping just slightly from yesterday:
• Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/111442/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Lead-78-Among-Likely-Voters.aspxnn.com/): Obama 52%, McCain 43%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history): Obama 52%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_102608.html): Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 53%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo (http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/diageohotline_t_31.html): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.3% margin of error, compared to a 50%-43% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Research 2000 (http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/10/26): Obama 51%, McCain 40%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 52%-40% Obama lead yesterday.
• Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1611): Obama 49%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 51%-42% Obama lead from yesterday.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 51.2%-43.1%, a lead of 8.1 points, compared to the 51.6%-42.8% Obama lead from yesterday.
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_election_central_obama_sta.php
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. Barack Obama is still way ahead nationally, with his overall lead dipping just slightly from yesterday:
• Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/111442/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Lead-78-Among-Likely-Voters.aspxnn.com/): Obama 52%, McCain 43%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history): Obama 52%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_102608.html): Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 53%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo (http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/diageohotline_t_31.html): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.3% margin of error, compared to a 50%-43% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Research 2000 (http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/10/26): Obama 51%, McCain 40%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 52%-40% Obama lead yesterday.
• Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1611): Obama 49%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 51%-42% Obama lead from yesterday.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 51.2%-43.1%, a lead of 8.1 points, compared to the 51.6%-42.8% Obama lead from yesterday.