Richard Tafoya
Oct 27th, 2008, 07:52 PM
TPM:
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_track_composite_mccain_pic.php
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. John McCain has picked up some of the undecided vote, but Barack Obama's support is steady and he remains well ahead nationally:
• Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/111466/Gallup-Daily-Race-Stable-Obama-Leading.aspx): Obama 53%, McCain 43%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-43% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history): Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_102708.html): Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo (http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/diageohotline_t_32.html): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.6% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Research 2000 (http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/10/27): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 51%-40% Obama lead yesterday.
• Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1613): Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 49%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 51.2%-44.0%, a lead of 7.2 points, compared to the 51.2%-43.1% Obama lead from yesterday.
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_track_composite_mccain_pic.php
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. John McCain has picked up some of the undecided vote, but Barack Obama's support is steady and he remains well ahead nationally:
• Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/111466/Gallup-Daily-Race-Stable-Obama-Leading.aspx): Obama 53%, McCain 43%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-43% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history): Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_102708.html): Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo (http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/diageohotline_t_32.html): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.6% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Research 2000 (http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/10/27): Obama 50%, McCain 42%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 51%-40% Obama lead yesterday.
• Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1613): Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 49%-44% Obama lead from yesterday.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 51.2%-44.0%, a lead of 7.2 points, compared to the 51.2%-43.1% Obama lead from yesterday.