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View Full Version : Iran Challenges Obama by Hiking Tensions on Israel’s Borders


Liviagray
Jan 16th, 2009, 02:09 PM
http://www.debka.com/article.php?aid=1365


DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis

December 13, 2008


DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis

December 13, 2008

The strategy the Islamic regime has charted for the new US president hinges on fanning tensions on Israel’s northern and southern borders while putting a damper on the various Middle East peace initiatives. Syria was therefore discouraged from returning to its indirect peace track with Israel and Hamas ordered to boycott Egypt’s bid to patch up the quarrel between the Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah.

Tehran’s object is to show Barack Obama who holds the whip hand in the Middle East and force him to seek urgent talks to defuse rising tensions.

At his first news conference as president elect, Obama said Friday, Nov. 7, that Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons was “unacceptable” and its support for terrorist organizations “must cease.” He ducked a reporter’s question about whether he had read the letter of congratulation sent him by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and when he would answer.

But Iran had already laid out its strategy for the incoming president, jumping in the day before the US presidential election.

Foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki arrived in Damascus on Nov. 3 with a briefing for Syrian president Bashar Assad. According to our Middle East sources, Mottaki said Tehran would enter into dialogue with the new US president only from a position of political and military strength and did not propose to await Obama’s convenience until he took office in the White House on Jan. 20.

Iran’s rulers want to force the new US president to seek them out for a back-door channel of communications, in the same way as Ronald Reagan did while Jimmy Carter was still president to solve the 1980 hostage crisis in Tehran. They plan to make him come to them by raising tensions to crisis level.

Richard Tafoya
Jan 16th, 2009, 02:25 PM
Is Debka a blog or a policy shop or a newspaper or what? I never really got a handle on who their intended audience was.

Liviagray
Jan 16th, 2009, 02:43 PM
Is Debka a blog or a policy shop or a newspaper or what? I never really got a handle on who their intended audience was.

I really don't know. I visited this site today for the first time. I just found them in Google search. It's probably news sites. There are couple of them: debka.co.il, debka.com, debka.file.

Richard Tafoya
Jan 16th, 2009, 02:48 PM
From Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debka.com
DEBKAfile is an Israeli, Jerusalem-based English language open source military intelligence website with commentary and analyses on terrorism, intelligence, security, and military and political affairs in the Middle East.

It began in the summer of 2000, and is operated from the Jerusalem home of veteran journalists Giora Shamis and Diane Shalem. It has been awarded Forbes' Best of The Web award. Forbes identifies the best part of the website as being its archives, but decries the fact that "most of the information is attributed to unidentified sources."

Debka has been criticized as a fringe outfit catering to conspiracy theorists. Left-leaning Yediot Achronot's investigative reporter Ronen Bergman claims that the site relies on information from sources with an agenda, such as the rightist elements of the American Republican Party, and that Israeli intelligence officials do not consider even 10 percent of the site's content to be reliable.

The site's operators claim that 80 percent of what Debka reports turns out to be true, and point out their 2000 prediction that al-Qaeda would strike the World Trade Center, and that they had warned well before the 2006 war in Lebanon that Hezbollah had amassed 12,000 Katyusha rockets that were pointed at northern Israel.
So it's a right-wing site using unsourced reporting that Isreali intelligence writes off as rumor, apparently created for and by the hard-right wing of the GOP.

Liviagray
Jan 16th, 2009, 03:02 PM
From Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debka.com

So it's a right-wing site using unsourced reporting that Isreali intelligence writes off as rumor, apparently created for and by the hard-right wing of the GOP.

Like I said before I don't know. You knew more about this site than me. I just surch the net and post what I got.

WannaBreatheYou
Jan 16th, 2009, 03:04 PM
Like I said before I don't know. You knew more about this site than me. I just surch the net and post what I got.

And that's the problem with just searching the net and posting what you get -- you get a lot of propoganda that is geared towards one side or the other. If you don't research what you're reading and where they're from and what they're about, then you're posting as fact a lot of propoganda that is seriously skewed.