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View Full Version : The Arctic will be ice-free in summer within 20 years, research says


Richard Tafoya
Oct 14th, 2009, 11:13 PM
Times UK:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/science/earth-environment/article6875260.ece

Ships will be able to sail in open water to the North Pole in the summer of 2020, according to a study that found a rapid acceleration in the loss of sea ice.

The Arctic will be ice-free in summer within 20 years, the study found, while the Earth will lose the white cap that can be seen in photographs taken from space.

The Polar Ocean Physics Group (http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/sipo/) from Cambridge University compared measurements of ice thickness recorded by a Royal Navy nuclear submarine with those taken two years later in the same area by Pen Hadow, the explorer.

The two sets of measurements were consistent, revealing that the findings by HMS Tireless in 2007 were not an aberration caused by a particularly warm year.

Peter Wadhams, Professor of Ocean Physics at Cambridge, said that cargo ships would no longer need to rely on special ice-breaking vessels to cross from the Pacific to the Atlantic via the Northwest Passage. The route would be ice-free for several months every year, cutting more than 3,000 miles from the normal journey from the Far East to Europe via the Suez canal.

“The North Pole will be exposed in ten years. You would be able to sail a Japanese car carrier across the North Pole and out into the Atlantic,” Professor Wadhams said.

“The ice will retreat to a zone north of Greenland and Ellesmere Island by 2020 and that area will be less than half the present summer area. The change in the Arctic summer sea ice is the biggest impact global warming is having on the physical appearance of the planet.”

Richard Tafoya
Oct 17th, 2009, 11:03 AM
VOA:
http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-10-15-voa41.cfm
Satellite observation and submarine surveys over the past few years had shown less ice in the polar region, but the recent measurements show the loss is more pronounced than previously thought.

"We're looking at 80 percent roughly loss of ice cover on the Arctic Ocean in 10 years, and 100 percent loss in nearer 20 years," said Hadow.

Cambridge scientist Peter Wadhams, who's been measuring and monitoring the Arctic since 1971 says the decline is irreversible.

"The more you lose, the more open water is created, the more warming goes on in that open water during the summer, the less ice forms in the winter, the more melt there is the following summer," he said. "It becomes a breakdown process where everything ends up accelerating until it's all gone."

tiger_rascal
Oct 17th, 2009, 05:53 PM
Ships will be able to sail in open water to the North Pole in the summer of 2020, according to a study that found a rapid acceleration in the loss of sea ice.

Thats a relief! Short cut!

pinky
Oct 17th, 2009, 06:19 PM
You're joking, right, Chad?

tiger_rascal
Oct 17th, 2009, 06:32 PM
Yes! :laugh:

tiger_rascal
Oct 17th, 2009, 06:34 PM
Finally, after thousands of years of trying to free the north part of the globe of ice, man has finally conquered the final frontier. Now, ships can freely sail the north pole without fear of hitting ice and meeting a similar fate of the Titanic.

This is for the Titanic! *fist in air*